Brisbane Commercial Property Market

Brisbane CBD office vacancy was 10.2 per cent in July 2026, according to the Property Council of Australia. That is the lowest of any Australian CBD, and the first time Brisbane has held that position since records began in 1990. It is down from 11.8 per cent in January, when 360 Queen Street and 205 North Quay added new space, and compares with 13.3 per cent in Sydney and 18.9 per cent in Melbourne.

The reason I stay confident on Brisbane is that the fall is demand-driven: tenants absorbed almost four times the usual amount of space in six months, and there is no new office supply due in 2026. Tenants are coming back and expanding, that firms up the income behind existing buildings, and I’m watching it feed straight into lender appetite. Prime stock with committed tenants still moves far more easily than older B-grade and strata, so I check building grade and lease profile first. Our office building loans page covers what lenders want by grade.

Brisbane industrial vacancy was 3.0 per cent in the first half of 2026 (CBRE), below the 4% mark economists treat as balanced, and I don’t expect it to ease much soon. A handful of structural forces are doing the work:

• South-east Queensland population growth. One of the fastest-growing corridors in the country, feeding constant e-commerce and last-mile demand through the Trade Coast and South-East Corridor.
• The Brisbane Airport freight expansion and the wider Trade Coast precinct, both absorbing occupiers at a steady clip.
• The Yatala Enterprise Area to the south, delivering the large-format logistics stock that serves the whole SEQ corridor.
• The 2032 Olympics infrastructure layer, adding another decade of trade and logistics investment on top.

None of that is short-cycle. For lenders, it makes industrial the cleanest category I work in across Brisbane right now: valuations hold, the evidence is consistent, and the panel runs deep for quality assets in established precincts. See our industrial property loans page for current lending parameters.

The difference that pulls most of the interstate money into Brisbane is yield spread. Brisbane yields sit wider than Sydney across every sector, so you collect more income per dollar of price, and lower entry prices give LVR calculations more room to land on value. On vacancy, Brisbane CBD office is now tighter than Sydney, at 10.2 per cent against 13.3 per cent. Industrial is the one area where the two look alike, both under the 4% mark.

The shift I’d point to most, though, is lender appetite. Two years ago a few lenders on my panel quietly pulled back on certain Brisbane sectors. That has reversed. For well-credentialled borrowers with quality assets, Brisbane is the more competitive place to finance right now, and that competition shows up directly in the terms.

You’ll find current sector ranges in the tracker above, which I review quarterly from live transactions across my panel. They’re broker-observed ranges, not a statistical index, shown alongside Knight Frank’s published yields, and they move with precinct, lease term, tenant covenant and building grade. Broadly, Brisbane sits wider than Sydney across most sectors, which is exactly why interstate investors are so active here. Industrial and logistics attract the tightest yields on the back of sub-4% vacancy. Medical and healthcare pricing has held firm through this year’s rate rises. CBD secondary office and non-anchor retail sit at the wide end, and that width reflects real income risk, so I’d read it that way rather than as a bargain.

The thing I’d flag to any buyer: lenders run their own capitalisation rate assumptions in the valuation, and they don’t always match the yield you bought on. A deal that stacks up at the purchase price can come unstuck when the valuer applies a wider cap rate. It’s the single most common reason I watch finance stall, which is why I push clients to understand the valuation environment before they sign, not after.

Brisbane cap rates run wider than Sydney and Melbourne, which is the whole draw for interstate buyers: you pay less per dollar of net income. That gap isn’t really a risk discount, it’s Brisbane’s historically lower profile closing as investors catch up to the demand story. Current ranges by sector sit in the yield tracker above, reviewed quarterly.

The one caution I repeat to every buyer: it’s the valuer’s cap rate, not yours, that decides the loan. The most common reason finance falls over here is a valuation landing under the contract price because the valuer applied a wider cap rate. Knowing where valuers sit for your asset type before you sign is the cheapest insurance there is.

Here’s how I read Brisbane for 2026, and it’s worth separating the structural story from the speculative one. The structural case is genuinely strong: population growth, Trade Coast demand, the lowest CBD office vacancy in the country, and a healthcare sector riding demographics. That’s what lenders are actually underwriting. The headwind is interest rates: four rises this year have tightened borrowing capacity across every sector. Sector by sector, my read is:

• Industrial and logistics stays the strongest category, on structural demand that outlasts any single event.
• Medical and healthcare is the segment I’m watching most closely, with pricing holding firm and consistent SMSF demand.
• CBD office has the tightest vacancy of any capital and no new supply in 2026, but it still rewards selective asset choice.
• Retail splits hard: anchor-tenanted neighbourhood holds up, discretionary stays the weakest category on the board.

The risk I’d watch is buying into the loudest Olympic precincts at a price that’s already absorbed the premium, without the income to back it. The deals I see go unconditional are the ones where the buyer confirmed income quality and locked finance first. Brisbane in 2026 favours conviction on quality assets, because lender competition for those is real.

These are the two precincts I get asked about most, and they’re interesting for completely different reasons.

Fortitude Valley is a maturing fringe-CBD market. It’s pulled in a steady run of owner-occupiers and boutique investors over recent years, especially in professional services, creative industries and medical. It sits right against the CBD with strong amenity and a price that undercuts the core, which is exactly what businesses wanting CBD proximity without CBD pricing are after. I’m seeing consistent activity in the sub-$3M owner-occupier range, mostly healthcare and professional services.

Woolloongabba is a different animal. The Gabba is no longer being rebuilt as the Olympic stadium (the new main stadium is at Victoria Park), but the state plans a new 17,000-seat arena on the Go Print site next door, and the Cross River Rail station, due to open in 2029, will connect the precinct directly to the CBD. That has made it one of the most watched commercial pockets in Brisbane. Investor interest tied to the Olympics corridor has lifted noticeably over the past year. My honest read, though: some of that premium is already in the price for anything sitting right against the stadium and arena sites. The better risk-to-reward, in my view, tends to be the service commercial and light industrial a block or two out, which still rides the precinct activation without the speculative tag.

Both sit well with lenders. Tenanted mixed-use and office in Fortitude Valley is getting competitive terms. Woolloongabba needs closer asset-level work, the fundamentals are strong but lease terms and Olympic construction disruption matter, so I’d want a proper conversation before anyone commits to a price.

The biggest thing people miss is that the 2032 Olympics is already moving the market, it’s not all future-dated. Cross River Rail, due to open in 2029, is already shaping tenant and investor decisions through South Brisbane and the inner south. Queen’s Wharf is open and still being completed in the CBD. The new main stadium at Victoria Park is drawing attention to Bowen Hills and the inner north, and the Northshore Hamilton precinct, confirmed as the Athlete Village, has drawn commercial and mixed-use interest for years.

Where I’d add caution is how you use the Olympics story when you’re pricing a deal. The assets that benefit most durably ride the infrastructure, transport, precinct activation, population, not demand that ends in September 2032. A good chunk of the premium is already baked into the headline stock around the stadium and arena sites, so the better balance often sits a block or two removed. Underneath it all, the structural SEQ growth story is the durable driver lenders underwrite, and the Brisbane 2032 catalyst amplifies it rather than replacing it. Lenders still price each asset on its own income, an Olympics postcode on its own won’t buy you a better LVR or rate than the lease profile justifies.

Brisbane LVRs typically run 60% to 75%, and where you land inside that band depends on asset type, your profile and the lender. That spread is wider than most buyers expect: on a $2M asset, the gap between 60% and 75% is $300,000 of equity, so lender selection moves your capital, not just your rate. As a rough guide:

• Owner-occupiers get the best terms. Healthcare, professional services and light industrial owner-occupiers regularly land 70% to 75%, especially with a clear operational link to the property.
• Investment-grade industrial in the Trade Coast and South-East Corridor is doing 65% to 70% across multiple competing lenders.
• Medical with well-credentialled tenants sits in similar territory, well supported.
• Older CBD strata office and non-anchor retail are the hard ones, narrower appetite, and I’ve seen valuations come in under contract on recent submissions.

If you’re buying in those last two segments, I’d build a genuine equity buffer above the minimum, that’s prudence, not pessimism. For full sector ranges and lender criteria, see our Brisbane commercial lending criteria page.

Yes, and Brisbane is one of the busiest SMSF commercial markets in the country right now. The fund borrows through a limited recourse borrowing arrangement (LRBA), provided it has the assets, meets the sole purpose test and clears the rest of the super compliance rules. It’s not complicated once you’ve run one, but it does need lenders who genuinely know the space, plenty don’t offer it, and terms vary widely between those who do.

The part business owners underrate is that your SMSF can lease the premises straight back to your own business at market rate. It’s one of the very few related-party arrangements super law allows, so the rent lands in your fund rather than a landlord’s pocket, taxed at 15% in accumulation phase and potentially nil in pension. Over a 10 to 15 year hold, that’s one of the most efficient structures I see owners use. Brisbane demand concentrates in medical, dental, allied health, professional services and light industrial, with loans usually around 65% to 70% LVR. The one thing I’d push: start early, before you’ve found a property, so the structure, pre-approval and valuation expectations all line up when you need to move. Our SMSF commercial property loans page goes deeper.